It's time for predictions! Here's who I think will win, and who probably should win. Please note - I made this post before the Oscar nominations were announced and chose not to edit it afterwards.
Best Motion Picture — Drama
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
Who will win: Lincoln or Zero Dark Thirty
Who should win: Argo
I expect either Lincoln or Zero Dark Thirty to win. Why? Because I don't think either will win Best Picture at the Oscars and the Globes have gotten Best Drama wrong mora than right.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Drama
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight
Who will win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Who should win: Daniel Day-Lewis
This seems like a no brainer.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea
Who will win: Jessica Chastain
Who should win: Marion Corillard
Granted, I have only seen The Deep Blue Sea out of all of these, and Weisz was excellent, but Cotillard's role seems to be the hardest. Maybe Watts' as well. All I know is Chastain will probably win.
Best Motion Picture — Comedy Or Musical
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Silver Linings Playbook
Who will win: Les Miserables
Who should win: Silver Linings Playbook
Again, A few great movies here, I wouldn't be upset if Moonrise Kingdom won either. Silver Linings is my favorite of the bunch, but I have a feeling power house Les Mis will take home the prize.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Comedy Or Musical
Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Maggie Smith, Quartet
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
Who will win: Jennifer Lawrence
Who should win: Jennifer Lawrence.
Not a lot of competition here. Out of all of these nominees, I expect her to be the only one that earns an Oscar nod.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Comedy Or Musical
Jack Black, Bernie
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson
Ewan McGregor, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Who will win: Hugh Jackman
Who should win: Hugh Jackman
It's a tight race between him and Cooper, but Jackman had the flashier role, so I see him coming out on top. I would not be upset if Jack Black came from behind to win for Bernie. Man, he was good in that.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy
Who will win: Anne Hathaway
Who should win: Anne Hathaway
Les Mis' entire marketing campaign has been setting her up for Oscar gold. If she doesn't win, that would be the bigger story.
Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Alan Arkin, Argo
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Who will win: Leonardo DiCaprio
Who should win: Leonardo DiCaprio.
While everyone in this category is a strong contender, I think this is Leo's year.
Best Director — Motion Picture
Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Who will win: Steven Spielberg
Who should win: Ben Affleck
The HFPA loves them some Spielberg, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him win here. I don't think Tarantino will take it, because no matter how awesome Django is, it's not as good as some of his previous films. Affleck really deserves it for Argo. Who thought he could direct THAT good of a film?
Best Screenplay — Motion Picture
Argo, Chris Terrio
Django Unchained, Quentin Tarantino
Lincoln, Tony Kushner
Silver Linings Playbook, David O. Russell
Zero Dark Thirty, Mark Boal
Who will win: David O Russell
Who should win: David O Russell.
I still hate that they combine original and adapted here.
Best Original Score — Motion Picture
Anna Karenina, Dario Marianelli
Argo, Alexandre Desplat
Cloud Atlas, Tom Tykwer, Johnny Klimet & Reinhold Heil
Life of Pi, Michael Danna
Lincoln, John Williams
Who will win: Life of Pi
Who should win: Anna Karenina
This is tough, three of the films that I thought had the strongest scores, The Dark Knight Rises, Moonrise Kingdom and Beasts of the Southern Wild aren't even nominated. I do enjoy Alexandre Desplat, but Dario Marianelli's score was more memorable to me.
Best Original Song — Motion Picture
“For You” from Act of Valor
“Not Running Anymore” from Stand Up Guys
“Safe and Sound” from The Hunger Games
“Suddenly” from Les Miserables
“Skyfall” from Skyfall
Who will win: Skyfall
Who should win: Skyfall
Is there really any stopping Adele?
Best Animated Film
Rise of the Guardians
Who will win: Brave
Who should win: Frakenweenie.
I haven't seen any of these, I just like the name Frakenweenie.
Best Foreign Language Film
A Royal Affair
Rust & Bone
Who will win: Amour
Who should win: Amour
The majority of the critics seem to love Amour the most, so I'll go with that. Unfortunately I haven't gotten to see any of these either.
Best Television Series — Comedy Or Musical
The Big Bang Theory
Who will win: Modern Family
Who should win: The Big Bang Theory
I'm starting to wonder if BBT will ever win this category. They certainly deserve it.
Best Performance by an Actor In A Television Series – Drama
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Who will win: Damiam Lewis
Who should win: Bryan Cranston
Everyone jumped on the Homeland bandwagon this year, and after their surprise win a the Emmys, I expect them to repeat here. Even though Bryan Cranston deserves this award more than anyone. Seriously, have you seen him no Breaking Bad? Superb.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series – Drama
Connie Britton, Nashville
Glenn Close, Damages
Claire Danes, Homeland
Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Who will win: Claire Danes
Who should win: Claire Danes
I don't doubt that she's fantastic in Homeland, but her acceptance speeches are THE WORST.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Kevin Costner, Hatfields and McCoys
Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock
Woody Harrelson, Game Change
Toby Jones, The Girl
Clive Owen, Hemingway and Gellhorn
Who will win: Kevin Costner
Who should win: Benedict Cumberbatch.
I hope they are smart enough to give this award to Benny Batch (so much easier to type) He's fantastic on Sherlock.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Mini-series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Nicole Kidman, Hemingway and Gellhorn
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum
Sienna Miller, The Girl
Julianne Moore, Game Change
Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals
Who will win: Julianne Moore
Who should win: Julianne Moore
She won the Emmy, she'll win here as well. She was great in Game Change, even if I can't stand Sarah Palin
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Ed Harris, Game Change
Danny Huston, Magic City
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Who will win: Ed Harris
Who should win: Aaron Paul or Giancarlo Esposito for Breaking Bad. Or Peter Dinklage for Game of Thrones. Or Michael Pitt for Boardwalk Empire. Oh wait, they weren't nominated. That's right. This category is a fucking joke.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Hayden Panettiere, Nashville
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Sarah Paulson, Game Change
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Who will win: Hayden Panettiere or Maggie Smith
Who should win: Maggie Smith
I can totally see them given Hayden this award, but at the same time, I can see them giving it to Maggie as well. I'm torn.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series — Comedy Or Musical
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Lena Dunham, Girls
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks And Recreation
Who will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Who should win: Amy Poehler
Please let it be host Amy Poehler's time!
Best Performance by an Actor In A Television Series — Comedy Or Musical
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Louis C.K., Louis
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Who will win: Jim Parsons
Who should win: Louis C.K
I'm not sure how many of you watch Louis, but it's fucking hilarious. You should check it out.
Best Television Series — Drama
Who will win: Homeland
Who should win: Breaking Bad
Breaking Bad is the best show on television. No, you won't convince me otherwise. Yes, I'm bias.
Best Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made for Television
Hatfield & McCoys
Who will win: Game Change
Who should win: The Girl
I actually really liked The Girl, give it some love.