2013 SAG Predictions: Who will win, Who should win

Here are my final predictions for the SAG awards. I did pretty well with my Globe picks, but the SAG are a different animal. They tend to be more about performance than flair. (as they should be)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading RoleBradley Cooper (“Pat”) - Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
Daniel Day-Lewis (“Abraham Lincoln”) – Lincoln (Touchstone Pictures)
John Hawkes (“Mark”) - The Sessions (Fox Searchlight)
Hugh Jackman (“Jean Valjean”) - Les Misérables (Universal Pictures)
Denzel Washington (“Whip Whitaker”) – Flight (Paramount Pictures)
Who will win and who should win: Daniel Day-Lewis
I don't see anyone taking him down this season, as interesting as it would be to see Jackman or Cooper honored, it's going to be DDL all the way.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain (“Maya”) – Zero Dark Thirty (Columbia Pictures)
Marion Cotillard (“Stephanie”) – Rust and Bone (Sony Pictures Classics)
Jennifer Lawrence (“Tiffany”) – Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
Helen Mirren (“Alma Reville”) – Hitchcock (Fox Searchlight)
Naomi Watts (“Maria”) - The Impossible (Summit Entertainment)
Who will win: Jessica Chastain
Who should win: Jennifer Lawrence
This is a tricky one, The Oscars gave SLP a huge push, but I belive SAG voting was finished before that happened. I'm rooting for Jen, but I have a feeling Jessica is going to walk away with this one.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin (“Lester Siegel”) – Argo (Warner Bros. Pictures)
Javier Bardem (“Silva”) – “SKYFALL” (Columbia Pictures)
Robert De Niro (“Pat, Sr.”) – Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (“Lancaster Dodd”) – The Master (The Weinstein Company)
Tommy Lee Jones (“Thaddeus Stevens”) - Lincoln (Touchstone Pictures)
Who will win: Javier Bardem
Who should win: Philip Seymour Hoffman.
The Globe winner, Christoph Waltz isn't nominated here. All of these men are up for an Oscar aside from Javier, so naturally I think it's going to be a swerve and he'll win. He was great in Skyfall, but I think Hoffman's performance is pretty uderrated in The Master. Everyone raves about Joaquin, but I think Hoffman was so much better.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Sally Field (“Mary Todd Lincoln”) - Lincoln (Touchstone Pictures)
Anne Hathaway (“Fantine”) – Les Misérables (Universal Pictures)
Helen Hunt (“Cheryl”) – The Sessions (Fox Searchlight)
Nicole Kidman (“Charlotte Bless”) – The Paperboy (Millennium Entertainment)
Maggie Smith (“Muriel Donnelly”) - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight)
Who will win and who should win: Anne Hathaway. Many have soured on Hathaway this season because of her spastic interviews/acceptance speeches, but I still think she's as much of a lock as DDL is for best actor.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Argo
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Misérables
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Who will win and who should win: Argo
If anyone got a huge push from the Globes, it was Argo. This category is extremely hard in my opinion. The only one I know that isn't going to win is The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, let's put it that way! Lincoln didn't include many members of it's awesome cast, so I think that hurts their changes. Les  Mis or SLP could easily take this category too. Tough call!

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
The Amazing Spider-Man
The Bourne Legacy
The Dark Knight Rises
Les Misérables
Skyfall
Who will win: Skyfall
Who should win: The Dark Knight Rises
Hello, bias Batman fan.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Steve Buscemi (“Enoch ‘Nucky’ Thompson”) – Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
Bryan Cranston (“Walter White”) – Breaking Bad (AMC)
Jeff Daniels (“Will McAvoy”) – The Newsroom (HBO)
Jon Hamm (“Don Draper”) – Mad Men (AMC)
Damian Lewis (“Nicholas Brody”) – Homeland (Showtime)
Who will win: Damian Lewis
Who should win: Bryan Cranston
I finally watched a few episodes of Homeland the other night. Not feeling it. Bryan Cranston is still the best. Although the SAGS love them some Buscemi, he could take this one for the 3rd time.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Claire Danes (“Carrie Mathison”) – Homeland (Showtime)
Michelle Dockery (“Lady Mary Crawley”) – Downton Abbey (PBS)
Jessica Lange (“Sister Jude”) – American Horror Story: Asylum (FX)
Julianna Margulies (“Alicia Florrick”) – The Good Wife (CBS)
Maggie Smith (“Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham”) – Downton Abbey (PBS)
Who will win and who should win: Claire Danes.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Alec Baldwin (“Jack Donaghy”) – 30 Rock (NBC)
Ty Burrell (“Phil Dunphy”) – Modern Family (ABC)
Louis C.K. (“Louie”) – Louie (FX)
Jim Parsons (“Sheldon Cooper”) – The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
Eric Stonestreet (“Cameron Tucker”) – Modern Family (ABC)
Who will win: Alec Baldwin
Who should win: Louis CK
I said the SAGs love them some Buscemi, but they REALLY FUCKING LOVE them some Alec Baldwin. He's won this award like 7 times in a row. Just for that, I kind of hope he takes it again.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Edie Falco (“Jackie Peyton”) - Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
Tina Fey (“Liz Lemon”) – 30 Rock (NBC)
Amy Poehler (“Leslie Knope”) – Parks and Recreations (NBC)
Sofia Vergara (“Gloria Delgado-Pritchett”) – Modern Family (ABC)
Betty White (“Elka Ostrovsky”) – Hot in Cleveland (TV Land)
Who will win: Tina Fey
Who should win Amy Poehler.
With 30 Rock on it's way out the door, I can see them giving another statue to Fey

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Downton Abbey (PBS)
Homeland (Showtime)
Mad Men (AMC)
Who will win: Boardwalk Empire
Who should win: Breaking Bad
I don't think Homeland is strong enough to take the Ensemble award. They really only have two stand outs. Boardwalk has won two years running, but I'm really hoping Breaking Bad FINALLY takes it.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
30 Rock (NBC)
The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
Glee (FOX)
Modern Family (ABC)
Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
The Office (NBC)
Who will win: Modern Family or 30 Rock
Who should win: The Big Bang Theory.
TBBT has had a great season, but I think either Modern Family or 30 Rock will take this. I'm leaning more towards 30 Rock since this is the SAGs

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Kevin Costner (“‘Devil Anse’ Hatfield”) – Hatfields & McCoys (History)
Woody Harrelson (“Steve Schmidt”) – Game Change (HBO)
Ed Harris (“John McCain”) – Game Change (HBO)
Clive Owen (“Ernest Hemingway”) - Hemingway & Gellhorn (HBO)
Bill Paxton (“Randall McCoy”) – Hatfields & McCoys (History)
Who will win and who should win: Ed Harris

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Nicole Kidman “Martha Gellhorn”) – Hemingway & Gellhorn (HBO)
Julianne Moore (“Sarah Palin”) – Game Change (HBO)
Charlotte Rampling (“Eva Delectorskaya”) – Restless (Sundance Channel)
Sigourney Weaver (“Elaine Barrish Hammond”) – Political Animals(USA)
Alfre Woodward (“Ouiser”) – Steel Magnolias (Lifetime)
Who will win and who should win: Julianne Moore

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Television Series
Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Game of Thrones (HBO)
Sons of Anarchy (FX)
The Walking Dead AMC)
Who will win: The Walking Dead
Who should win: Game of Thrones
This was seriously the only nom for Game of Thrones? Ugh.