2024 Emmy Predictions: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

It's Emmy prediction time! With the awards right around the corner (Sep 15th) It's time to guess who I think will win, and in some cases, who should win. Brace yourselves, it's going to be a lot of the same show over and over.

Outstanding Comedy Series

Abbott Elementary

The Bear

Curb Your Enthusiasm

Hacks

Only Murders in the Building

Palm Royale 

Reservation Dogs

What We Do in the Shadows

Who will and should win: The Bear

Keep in mind, this is for season 2, so The Bear is the clear winner for me. If this were season 3, it would be a different story.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

Ayo Edebiri, The Bear

Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building

Maya Rudolph, Loot

Jean Smart, Hacks

Kristen Wiig, Palm Royale

Who will and should win: Ayo Edebiri

Ayo is finally in the right category and although Quinta Brunson is strong competition, she should take it here. 

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows

Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm

Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building

Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building

Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

D'Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, Reservation Dogs

Who will and should win: Jeremy Allen White

I love him in The Bear, though I would not be mad at all of Berry or Woon-A-Tai won here. Both of them are already winners just for breaking into this nomination field.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy

Lionel Boyce, The Bear

Paul W. Downs, Hacks

Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear

Paul Rudd, Only Murders in the Building

Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary

Bowen Yang, Saturday Night Live

Who will and should win: Ebon Moss-Bachrach. 

Yes, you are sensing a theme. I'm fully convinced voters only actually watched this and Shogun this year. But even if they hadn't, I'd still be guessing Ebon. His character had a very complex arc in season 2 and he was hilarious as always. 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy

Carol Burnett, Palm Royale

Sheryl Lee Ralph, Abbott Elementary

Hannah Einbinder, Hacks

Janelle James, Abbott Elementary

Liza Colon-Zayas, The Bear

Who will win: Carol Burnett

Who should win: Janelle James or Sheryl Lee Ralph

I'm torn on this. My heart says Abbott but I think Janelle and Sheryl could split votes and people love Carol Burnett. But then there's Liza in The Bear, I can't see them doing a complete sweep. Decisions decisions. 

Outstanding Drama Series

The Crown

Fallout

The Gilded Age

The Morning Show

Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Shogun

Slow Horses

3 Body Problem

Who will and should win: Shogun

Shogun was exceptional and voters clearly went nuts for it. I see it prevailing here. 

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Donald Glover, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Walton Goggins, Fallout

Gary Oldman, Slow Horses

Hiroyuki Sanada, Shogun

Dominic West, The Crown

Who will and should win: Hiroyuki Sanada

As much as I love Walton Goggins in Fallout, this is definitely Sanada's to lose. 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show

Maya Erskine, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Carrie Coon, The Gilded Age

Anna Sawai, Shogun

Imelda Staunton, The Crown

Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show

Who will and should win: Anna Sawai

Let it be known that I will lose my mind if she doesn't win here. 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Billy Crudup, The Morning Show

Tadanobu Asano, Shogun

Mark Duplass, The Morning Show

Jon Hamm, The Morning Show

Takehiro Hira, Shogun

Jack Lowden, Slow Horses

Jonathan Pryce, The Crown

Who will and should win: Tadanobu Asano 

There's a high chance that Crudup could win here again, but I'm sticking with Asano. He was excellent and I'm perplexed that The Morning Show keeps getting nominated for things.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Christine Baranski, The Gilded Age

Nicole Beharie, The Morning Show

Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown

Greta Lee, The Morning Show

Lesley Manville, The Crown

Karen Pittman, The Morning Show

Holland Taylor, The Morning Show

Who will win: Elizabeth Debicki

Who should win:?

I didn't watch any of these shows this year, so I can't really say. Princess Diana's goodwill with the public is never ending, so that alone gives Debicki an edge.

Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

Baby Reindeer

Fargo

Lessons in Chemistry

Ripley

True Detective: Night Country

Who will win: Baby Reindeer

Who should win: Fargo

What Gadd did with Baby Reindeer is astounding but I can't say I actually enjoyed watching it. I loved this season of Fargo, so if I were voting, that's who I'd pick. 

Outstanding TV Movie

Mr Monk's Last Case

Quiz Lady

Red, White, and Royal Blue

Scoop

Unfrosted

Who will and should win: Red, White, and Royal Blue

Honestly It's the only one I've seen and it was fine, so why not?

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited, Anthology Series or TV Movie

Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country

Brie Larson, Lessons in Chemistry

Juno Temple, Fargo

Sofia Vergara, Griselda

Naomi Watts, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans

Who will win: Brie Larson

Who should win: Juno Temple

I haven't seen Lessons in Chemistry but the consensus seams to be that Larson was amazing, and she has a lot of buzz behind her. However, Temple was amazing and she absolutely should have this win. 

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited, Anthology Series or TV Movie

Matt Bomer, Fellow Travelers

Richard Gadd, Baby Reindeer

Jon Hamm, Fargo

Tom Hollander, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans

Andrew Scott, Ripley

Who will and should win: Richard Gadd

He really put himself out there and I see voters acknowledging that. There's a lot of tough competition in this category. 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited, Anthology Series or TV Movie

Dakota Fanning, Ripley

Lily Gladstone, Under the Bridge

Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer

Aja Naomi King, Lessons in Chemistry

Diane Lane, Feud: Capote vs. The Swans 

Nava Mau, Baby Reindeer

Kali Reis, True Detective: Night Country

Who will win: Jessica Gunning

Who should win: Her for Kali Reis

Gunning was so good in Baby Reindeer you'd think they actually found a real life psycho to star in it, but I loved Kali Reis in Night Country. It was nice to just SEE someone that looked like her carrying a series like that. I do think her being here is category fraud though. She was absolutely a lead. 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited, Anthology Series, or TV Movie

Jonathan Bailey, Fellow Travelers

Robert Downey Jr., The Sympathizer

Tom Goodman-Hill, Baby Reindeer

John Hawkes, True Detective: Night Country

Lamorne Morris, Fargo

Lewis Pullman, Lessons in Chemistry

Treat Williams, Feud: Capote vs. The Swans

Who will win: Robert Downey Jr

Who should win: Lamorne Morris

I think Downey caps off his strong year with another win, but damn it, I loved Morris in Fargo. 

Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

Jon Bernthal, The Bear

Matthew Broderick, Only Murders in the Building

Ryan Gosling, Saturday Night Live

Christopher Lloyd, Hacks

Bob Odenkirk, The Bear

Will Poulter, The Bear

These were actually handed out while I was writing this post. Bernthal was my pick originally, so that's one win for me!

Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series

Nester Carbonell, Shogun

Paul Dano, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Tracy Letts, Winning Time

Jonathan Pryce, Slow Horces

John Tuturro, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Another win while I was writing this, and also who I would've picked based on the show he was nominated for. Though I wanted Paul Dano to win, because I always want Paul Dano to win. 

Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy

Olivia Colman, The Bear

Jamie Lee Curtis, The Bear

Kaitlin Olson, Hacks

Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Only Murders in the Building

Maya Rudolph, Saturday Night Live

Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live

I think everyone knew Jamie Lee was winning here. She's great in The Bear. 

Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama

Michaela Coel, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Claire Foy, The Crown

Marcia Gay Harden, The Morning Show

Sarah Paulson, Mr. and Mrs. Smith

Parker Posey, Mr. and Smith Smith

Michael Coel! Most of these women are previous winners so I was leaning towards Paulson, but I'm glad Coel picked it up. I need to watch this show.