2021 Golden Globe Predictions: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

 

This Awards Season has been such a mess that I almost forgot to get my picks out *before* the big show on Sunday. How can I not embarrass myself publicly by getting so many picks wrong each year? Here are the people who I think will win, and in some cases, who probably should instead.

 BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
“Nomadland”
“Mank”
“The Father”
“Promising Young Woman“
“The Trial of the Chicago 7”
Who will and should win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

I haven't seen The Father but out of all the others, Trial is my favorite and I think the best film overall. I see it winning here.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”
“Hamilton”
“Music”
“Palm Springs”
“The Prom”
Who will win: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Who should win: Hamilton

I go back and forth on whether or not I think they'll award Hamilton. It depends on how big of sticklers voters are being since it isn't technically a movie. Since I expect Borat to win in Best Actress, I think it wins here as well.

BEST DIRECTOR
Emerald Fennell, (“Promising Young Woman”)
David Fincher, “Mank”
Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”)
Regina King (“One Night in Miami”)
Aaron Sorkin (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Who will and should win: Chloe Zhao

I think there's a big change Sorkin could take this but Zhao is winning so many critic awards and this year actually feels like the year we could get another female Best Director winner. Plus, Zhao's direction is what makes Nomaland thrive. I hope she wins.

BEST ACTOR – DRAMA
Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)
Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)
Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”)
Gary Oldman (“Mank”)
Tahar Rahim (“The Mauritanian”)
Who will and should win: Chadwick Boseman

This is going to be hard to see him win when he's no longer with us, but he feels like a sure thing. He was electrifying in May Rainey

BEST ACTRESS – DRAMA
Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)
Andra Day (“The United States vs Billie Holiday”)
Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”)
Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”)
Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”)
Who will and should win: Carey Mulligan

I haven't seen Andra Day's performance but all of these other women are wonderful, but I see Mulligan coming out on top. Even though I had my issues with Promising Young Woman, Mulligan's performance was nowhere near one of them.

BEST ACTOR – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Sacha Baron Cohen (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
James Corden (“The Prom”)
Lin-Manuel Miranda (“Hamilton”)
Andy Samberg (“Palm Springs”)
Dev Patel (“Personal History of David Copperfield”)
Who will and should win: Sasha Baron Cohen

Unless they do go nuts for Hamilton, I can't see anyone else actually topping Cohen here. 

BEST ACTRESS – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
Kate Hudson (“Music”)
Michelle Pfeiffer (“French Exit”)
Rosamund Pike (“I Care A Lot”)
Anya Taylor-Joy (“Emma”)
Who will  and should win: Maria Bakalova

After seeing I Care A Lot, this is hard because I would LOVE for Pike to win this, but I've been on the "give Maria an Oscar" train since I saw Borat and I really hope she wins it here. 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
Jared Leto (“The Little Things”)
Bill Murray (“On the Rocks”)
Leslie Odom, Jr. (“One Night in Miami”)
Who will win: Sacha Baron Cohen

Who should win: Daniel Kaluuya

This is hard, but I'm going with a Cohen double win. I think Kaluuya and Odom Jr are both amazing in their movies, and I'd gie it to Kaluuya, but I don't know how well Judas and the Black Messiah would resonate with HFPA voters. 


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Glenn Close, “Hillbilly Elegy”
Olivia Colman, “The Father”
Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian”
Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”
Helena Zengel, “News of the World”
Who will win: Glenn Close

Who should win: Amanda Seyfried

Close is probably going to steamroll this Oscar season as a "make up" when she rightfully lost to Olivia Colman a few years ago and I'm going to hate every minute of it. 

BEST SCREENPLAY
Aaron Sorkin (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”)
Florian Zeller and Christopher Hampton (“The Father”)
Jack Fincher (“Mank”)
Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”)

Who will win: Trial of the Chicago 7

Who should win: That or Nomadland

Part of me wants to go with Promising Young Woman here because I think it has a chance, but since I think Trial will win best Drama, it probably repeats here.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat (“The Midnight Sky”)
Ludwig Göransson (“Tenet”)
James Newton Howard (“News of the World”)
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste (“Soul”)
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross (“Mank”)

Who will and should win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - Soul

Normally I wouldn't go with the double nom because of vote splitting, but I gotta go with Soul.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“IO SÌ (SEEN)” — “The Life Ahead”
“SPEAK NOW” — “One Night in Miami”
“TIGRESS & TWEED” — “The United States Vs. Billie Holiday”
“FIGHT FOR YOU” — “Judas and the Black Messiah”
“HEAR MY VOICE” — “The Trial of the Chicago 7”

Who will and should win: Speak Now
It's a great song and Odom Jr. performs it perfectly. 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“The Croods 2”
“Onward”
“Over the Moon”
“Soul”
“Wolfwalkers”
Who will win: Soul

Who should win: Wolfwalkers

I know Soul resonated with a lot more people but I'm really pulling for Wolfwalkers. Pixar has enough wins. Let's start giving Cartoon Saloon a break.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Another Round”
“La Llorona”
“The Life Ahead”
“Minari”
“Two of Us”
Who will win: Minari

Who should win: Another Round

Minari shouldn't be in this category at all but since it is, it will probably win. I want to see it, but haven't as of this writing. Another Round was one of my favorites from last year and I'd love it to win. 

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
“The Mandalorian”
“The Crown”
“Lovecraft Country”
“Ozark”
“Ratched”
Who will win: The Crown

Who should win: The Mandalorian or Lovecraft Country

I almost put Ratched here based on the "HFPA loves freshman series" instinct I normally have and I'm going to be so pissed if I get this wrong.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY
“Emily in Paris”
“Ted Lasso”
“The Flight Attendant”
“Schitt’s Creek”
“The Great”
Who will win: The Great

Who should win: Ted Lasso

I don't see Schitt's Creek having a huge blow out like they did at the Emmys. The Great feels like a HFPA show. I'll be rooting for Ted Lasso

MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
“Normal People”
“The Queen’s Gambit”
“The Undoing”
“Small Axe”
“Unorthodox”
Who will win: Small Axe

Who should win: Unorthodox or The Queen's Gambit

This is SO HARD. I'm going with my gut.

BEST ACTOR TV SERIES – DRAMA
Jason Bateman, “Ozark”
Josh O’Connor, “The Crown”
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
Matthew Rhys, “Perry Mason”
Al Pacino, “Hunters”
Who will and should win: Josh O'Connor

He's the only new nominee and The Crown was so popular this year, I think they'll have a decent showing at the Globes.

BEST ACTRESS TV SERIES – DRAMA
Olivia Colman, “The Crown”
Jodie Comer, “Killing Eve”
Emma Corrin, “The Crown”
Laura Linney, “Ozark”
Sarah Paulson, “Ratched”
Who will win: Sarah Paulson 

Who should win: Emma Corrin or Laura Linney

This is a freshman pick I know they're going for.

BEST ACTOR TV SERIES – COMEDY
Don Cheadle, “Black Monday”
Eugene Levy, “Schitt’s Creek”
Nicholas Hoult, “The Great”
Jason Sudeikis, “Ted Lasso”
Ramy Youssef, “Ramy”
Who will win: Nicholas Hoult

Who should win: Jason Sudeikis

Like I said, I don't see Schitt's Creek winning a ton, so I'm going with a newbie. Hopefully Sudeikis will win and surprise me.

BEST ACTRESS TV SERIES – COMEDY
Lily Collins, “Emily in Paris”
Kaley Cuoco, “The Flight Attendant”
Elle Fanning, “The Great”
Catherine O’Hara, “Schitt’s Creek”
Jane Levy, “Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist”
Who will win: Catherine O'Hara

Who should win: ?

I don't watch any of these shows, but this is one of the two categories I think Schitt's Creek will actually win in. 

BEST ACTOR – MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
Bryan Cranston, “Your Honor”
Jeff Daniels, “The Comey Rule”
Ethan Hawke, “The Good Lord Bird”
Hugh Grant, “The Undoing”
Mark Ruffalo, “I Know This Much Is True”
Who will and should win: Mark Ruffalo

He was just too damn good in this to ignore. Sure, it's depressing and heavy and there are bigger names against him, but I don't think it will be easy to ignore this performance. 

BEST ACTRESS – MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
Anya Taylor-Joy, “The Queen’s Gambit”
Shira Haas, “Unorthodox”
Nicole Kidman, “The Undoing”
Cate Blanchett, “Mrs. America”
Daisy Edgar-Jones, “Normal People”
Who will win: Cate Blanchett

Who should win: Shira Haas

I think they might err on star power here, but I think Shira has a chance. Anya could do as she's a double nominee, but Shira is by far my favorite.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
John Boyega, “Small Axe”
Brendan Gleeson, “The Comey Rule”
Dan Levy, “Schitt’s Creek”
Jim Parsons, “Hollywood”
Donald Sutherland, “The Undoing”

Who will and should win: Dan Levy

Dan is everywhere right now and I think he'll prevail here.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
Gillian Anderson, “The Crown”
Helena Bonham Carter, “The Crown”
Julia Garner, “Ozark”
Annie Murphy, “Schitt’s Creek”
Cynthia Nixon, “Ratched”
Who will and should win: Gillian Anderson

It would be nice for Julia Garner to win here, she has two Emmys under her belt, but I see them going for Gillian.